Filthie's Mobile Fortress Of Solitude

Filthie's Mobile Fortress Of Solitude
Where Great Intelligence Goes To Be Insulted

Monday, 30 March 2020

Believe It Or Else, Damn You!!!


Looks like my old buddy Aesop is at the panic button again. πŸ˜†πŸ‘ But, that’s how these guys roll I suppose. If you don’t fear their bogey man of the moment, you are on their chit list. I’ve always been on his; a hundred years ago he was freaking out over weaponized hobby drones. Our feud began when I pointed out that a two pound UAV was not going to lift tank-busting explosives that weighed 10 or 20. A couple weeks later he was flipping out about how we were all gonna die from Ebola. I saw a gif the other day somewhere, where some stubfarts are at the barber shop. One a the guys coughs, and a moron a couple chairs over loses his marbles and starts flogging the cougher!!! It was hilarious. You don’t want to get infected, but you’re more than happy to beat the pooh out of someone that may have it! HAR HAR HAR!!! HAR HAR HAR!!! The purple faced rage heads and panic zealots are what they are, I guess.

I think critically, I can read and I can do math. When I ponder these things, I start from a position 180 degrees away from that of the mass media, politicos and attention whores. It almost always works. You have to be careful with that though, because even stopped clocks are right twice a day.

If you start with the assumption that the media and politicians are lying, generally you are off to a good start. The second part of my process is harder. It isn’t enough to assume they are lying, you have to prove it. In this case, it was relatively easy. I started looking for solid data and voices that ran counter to the established narrative... and there’s tons of it out there. These are real scientists, statisticians and experts throwing their findings out there, showing their work and inviting critique. This is how real science works.
The response from the Usual Suspects was that they were either ignored completely or savagely personally attacked. That is a big tell right there. The proper response would be for the experts to respond by politely challenging the findings with methodical, dispassionate science. Instead, you get rage and fear. Enjoy your shit sammich ice cream, Aesop!πŸ˜†

Ignoring the experts and the Usual Suspects, let us look at the stats for ourselves. Right off the bat, you’ll notice they are all over the place. You can basically ignore the stats from the chinks and the turd world - they have serious credibility and technical issues and can be safely removed from the sample lot. Generally speaking, in first world countries, the fatality rate seems to run between 0.01% and 5%. A run out like that suggests the first world may have its own problems in data management. In statistics, established procedure is that variances of results may vary by ∓ 3%, 15 times out of 20. That’s the norm for a well run study. Obviously our stats depend largely on who’s gathering them. Given the hysterics, the clowns and carnies involved... how about we split the difference and go to the median death rate? That puts us at 2.5%.

Sorry dude. It’s just the flu.

Yes, under the right conditions it can kill you. You can also fall down the stairs, get hit by a bus at the crosswalk, or fall while getting out of the tub.

For what it’s worth, I live and die at the whims of Darwin, Murphy (and, dare I say it), God. Same as everyone else. Okay, I’ll wipe and wash my hands, but that is where it ends.

It’s Monday, and hopefully you all have better things to worry about. The coming financial collapse from this idiocy might be a good place to start.



  1. Trouble with the numbers is that they only represent the "positive tests" vs the number of deaths. If you take the "official" numbers last night in the US of 140K positive tests vs the 2400 deaths you arrive at 1.7% but that does not account for the ones that had symptoms and never got tested and the ones that got the bug and never had any symptoms at all.
    A more accurate representation might be total deaths vs population. The figures drop significantly at that point.
    Was it Stalin that said, one death is a tragedy, a million deaths is just a statistic?

    1. There is no consistency in how they gather the numbers, M. If I am an alcoholic and my liver is shot, and I get the disease and die - is it my liver or the virus that caused the death? And what about all the false positives? The statistical flubdubbery in this is a friggin dog's breakfast.

    2. Focusing on the positive, one bit of good news is that one small company right here in Scarborough has developed a test kit that gives results at point of service in five minutes and has just been approved by the FDA. They are making fifty thousand kits a day and are ramping up for others around the country to make the test kits too.

  2. Do not confuse the issue with facts.

    Since none of the reported numbers are accurate with the possible exception of deaths directly attributed to COVID-19, there are only a few things to concern those of us on the dark side of the odds. One, the chances of contracting a case in spite of precautions, and Two, the odds of cashing in your chips as adjusted for personal predisposition. Me, for instance. I'm old, I'm an asthmatic, I'm in bad physical condition, and my diet is not the best. But nothing like that will ever get published by commercial media because it doesn't support their agenda.

    Nice post, by the way.

    1. Well thanks for stopping in, WL! I am in the same boat as you, and when my number comes up - it's up and that's all there is to it...

  3. What WL said.

    One of the things I am enjoying about your blogs is your journey of faith. As an old stick-in-the-mud, raised-in-the-church, "I don't drink and I don't chew and I don't go with girls who do" Christians it is always good for me to be reminded that the journey of faith does not have to go by my standards.

    Grace and peace

    1. It's been a heck of a ride to get here, Pumice. One thing I notice is that the church folk we hang out with aren't nearly as ridiculous about this panic as regular people. Nothing slows them down and they take even a supposed pandemic in stride. I saw something over at American Digest that you might like: with church outlawed and everyone quarantined at home - the choir took to their cell phones and used them for good - not evil! :)

      Turn your speakers up if you are so inclined - they sing this one all the time at the wife's chapel.